A Guide to Agricultural Futures Trading (2024)

Commodities, especially agricultural commodities, are used by each of us every day. Agricultural commodities are broken into several categories: grains and oilseeds, livestock, dairy, lumber, softs, biofuels, and more. These commodities, from the food on your plate to the gas in your car, are all around us every day and almost impossible to avoid. For these reasons, futures trading is extremely common in the agricultural industry. From a small drought to a large storm, these commodities can be significantly impacted by just one instance of unfavorable weather. Agricultural futures trading allows farmers and consumers alike a way to protect their investment from the rise and fall of their product’s value in this volatile industry.

How to Get Started with Agricultural Futures Trading

Agricultural commodities are within the category of soft commodities. The term soft commodity refers to a commodity that is grown and then harvested such as grain, cotton, and coffee, as well as livestock like cattle and pork. While the majority of these commodities are used directly as a food source, some are used industrially such as rubber and latex from trees, as well as several other users in the clothing, and skin care industries. With their myriad of functions, it is more common that these products will be used for very similar purposes. As such, when getting started with agricultural futures trading, it is an essential step to choose your asset, and research it extensively.

Begin by asking yourself: What will my commodity’s price relationship be like with other commodities? What outside factors like the weather is my commodity at risk of? What types of markets will I be selling my commodity to? By asking these questions, you will begin to understand the supply and demand that you will be operating with. We then suggest you watch the market while trying to predict price ebbs and flows. Were your predictions correct? Once you feel that you have a comfortable grasp on your commodity’s volatility, it is time to partner with a professional.

Agricultural Futures Trading Best Practices

Agricultural commodities can be used as the physical goods themselves, or as a powerful investment vehicle. These commodities are integrated into almost every industry imaginable, and will, therefore, need to purchase them constantly. As a business owner, you will want to lock in a set price that is safe from supply and demand — this is where futures trading comes in.

Hedging is a common risk management strategy, given the high volatility of agricultural commodities. This strategy is built to minimize losses by locking in a fixed price to buy and sell your commodity at a later date. Futures trading is particularly useful in the agricultural industry as the quantity of these products can be difficult to predict due to weather, low fertility, and other factors. The inconsistency within these markets will sometimes cause discrepancy, opening the door for the more profitable technique: commodity arbitrage.

Commodity arbitrage is a process in which a commodity is simultaneously bought and sold in two separate markets in order to take advantage of a said price discrepancy. For example, one may buy crops in a state where the harvest is large and thus the supply is high with low demand, pay the shipping cost, and still profit from selling in a state with a lesser bounty and thus an inverse supply and demand.

Finally, there is speculation. This process is popular with traders who are looking to make a profit in agriculture. When speculating, the user is never physically handling the commodity, only the contracts. By carefully watching the market, users can predict rises and fall in prices across several regions to buy and sell accordingly.

Risks Involved

Naturally, there is a large risk involved when agricultural futures trading on the commodities market. Operating in this space is inherently based on prediction alone, with missteps leading to an overabundance of assets, a shortage of assets, or losing more money than you initially invested. Cannon Trading will help you to get started by partnering you with a professional futures broker. Our professional team members will help to advise you on a strategy that is right for you to help get you started investing in the agricultural commodities market based on your net income, and experience level. We will help to advise you on an investment vehicle that is right for you and help with all of your trading needs and questions when they arise with our extensive background and knowledge of the agricultural futures market. Don’t go it alone, start your commodities trading journey with expert assistance from Cannon Trading.

Disclaimer – Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circ*mstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

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A Guide to Agricultural Futures Trading (2024)

FAQs

What is the success rate of futures traders? ›

Tradeciety provides clearer and more time-specific futures trading stats–namely, that 40% of all futures day traders quit in 4 months, 80% quit within a year, and that only 7% are able to last 5 years or more. Bear in mind that among the 20% who last over a year, not all of them are profitable, just persistent.

How much do futures traders make? ›

As of Jun 4, 2024, the average annual pay for a Futures Trader in the United States is $101,533 a year. Just in case you need a simple salary calculator, that works out to be approximately $48.81 an hour. This is the equivalent of $1,952/week or $8,461/month.

Do farmers buy or sell futures? ›

Farmers use futures contracts to secure a price and to protect price risks. For example, a corn producer may decide to sell a corn futures contract in May, after planting is completed, for December delivery.

How to trade futures successfully? ›

Here are seven tips for how to proceed.
  1. Establish a trade plan. The first tip simply can't be emphasized enough: Plan your trades carefully before you establish a position. ...
  2. Protect your positions. ...
  3. Narrow your focus, but not too much. ...
  4. Pace your trading. ...
  5. Think long—and short. ...
  6. Learn from margin calls. ...
  7. Be patient.

What is the 80% rule in futures trading? ›

Definition of '80% Rule'

The 80% Rule is a Market Profile concept and strategy. If the market opens (or moves outside of the value area ) and then moves back into the value area for two consecutive 30-min-bars, then the 80% rule states that there is a high probability of completely filling the value area.

Do you need $25,000 to day trade futures? ›

Minimum Account Size

A pattern day trader who executes four or more round turns in a single security within a week is required to maintain a minimum equity of $25,000 in their brokerage account. But a futures trader is not required to meet this minimum account size.

Can I trade futures with $100? ›

This can be a risky form of trading, but it also has the potential to generate large profits. If you are starting with a small amount of capital, such as $10 to $100, it is still possible to make money on futures trading.

Which futures is most profitable? ›

What futures are most profitable? Trading in futures markets such as the Micro E-Mini Russell 2000 (M2K), Micro E-Mini S&P 500 (MES), Micro E-Mini Dow (MYM), and Micro E-Micro FX contracts can be highly profitable due to their distinct market characteristics.

Can I make a living trading futures? ›

Trading futures for a living is a compelling idea — but to do it successfully, you'll need sufficient startup capital and a well-designed trading plan. You'll also need a trading platform that offers fast, reliable access and the right technological tools.

How do agricultural futures work? ›

They're traded on futures exchanges and allow farmers, manufacturers, speculators, and investors to manage risk or speculate on price changes. Pricing of these contracts hinges on the commodity's current spot price, expected changes in supply and demand, and the time until contract expiration.

How do farmers hedge with futures? ›

The hedging process begins early in the growing season, some time after planting but months before harvest. The farmer goes to a buyer, typically through a futures exchange like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), and sells a contract. The farmer and buyer agree on the price that will be paid at harvest time.

When to buy and when to sell futures? ›

Long: Buy futures and profit when the prices increase. Short: Sell futures contracts and profit when the prices decrease. Spread: Simultaneously buy different futures contracts and profit when the relative price difference widens (or narrows).

How much money do I need to day trade futures? ›

To apply for futures trading approval, your account must have: Margin approval (check your margin approval) An account minimum of $1,500 (required for margin accounts.) A minimum net liquidation value (NLV) of $25,000 to trade futures in an IRA.

What are the easiest futures to trade? ›

High Liquidity For Low Slippage
  • Eurodollar (GE)
  • E-mini S&P 500 (ES)
  • 10-Year Treasury Note (ZN)
  • 5-Year Treasury Note (ZF)
  • Crude Oil WTI (CL)
  • Natural Gas (NG)
  • U.S. Treasury Bond (ZB)
  • E-mini Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

What is the best strategy for futures trading? ›

Best to use when: Buying a futures contract is the most straightforward futures trading strategy for speculating on an asset rising before the contract expires. The futures contract offers a leveraged return on the underlying asset's rise, so the trader expects a clear move higher in the near future.

What percentage of traders are successful? ›

According to a study by the University of California , Berkeley , only about 10 % of traders are able to consistently make a profit and succeed as full - time traders . This means that the vast majority of traders , 90 % , either break even or lose money in the long run .

What is the average day trader success rate? ›

Estimates vary, but it's commonly accepted that only around 10% to 15% of day traders are successful over time.67 This low success rate is attributed to the high risks, the need for substantial skill and experience, and the intense competition in the financial markets.

Who is the most successful futures trader? ›

The Legendary Figures in Futures Trading
  • Jesse Livermore: Triumph and Tragedy on Wall Street. ...
  • William Delbert Gann: A Pioneer of Technical Analysis. ...
  • George Soros: The Man Who Broke the Bank of England. ...
  • Paul Tudor Jones: Predicting and Profiting from Market Crashes. ...
  • The Impact of Strategy and Discipline.
Jan 12, 2024

Is it profitable to trade futures? ›

A futures trader can potentially profit by correctly guessing the direction that the price of gold will move. But if the futures trader guesses wrong, he can lose his entire investment and more. Now that you know how a futures contract is used, let's look at five key components of a contract.

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