In the 2-period binomial model, suppose you hold one put option. Construct a trading strategy that lets you hedge the risk of this putusing the stock. At each node,explain how the portfolio values are calculated.
To conduct thisexercise, run the Binomial Tree Module from the Virtual Classroom page.
For the default datamake sure “Put Option” is selected and set the number of periods to 2,select continuous compounding (i.e., leave Discrete Compounding unchecked) andcheck Maturity = Steps, so that you see the following screen:
Theabove displays the values of the put option at eachnode, which is the value of your assumed position. Atthe initial node, the put is worth 9.68. Theput value after an up-tick is 4.47 and after a down-tick is 20.24.
Our objective is tohedge the put option's price risk using the underlying stock.First, we will define a number referred to as Delta, which is useful whenhedging option risk. Delta isa numberthat measures the change in the value of the option when the stock pricechanges. Denote it by the Greek letter , so that
Therefore, DS = DP, or DP - DS = 0, so if we hold -stocks, then the change in the putvalue will be mirrored by the change in the value of the -stocks.
By selecting either the put orcall replication from thedrop down, the Binomial Tree Module will display the delta of the selected option at each node.For the current example put replication results in thefollowing tree:
Creating a Riskless Position At the initial node, is -0.3155.This means that to replicate a long (i.e., +1) put option we should sell 0.3155 stocks and lend the proceeds to the money market. But recall our goal is to create a riskless position when we already own one put option. How do we do this? The answer to is to replicate a short (i.e., -1 put option) position To do this requires that we change the signs in a long synthetic put option position. That is, from a trading perspective we should borrow from risk free money market and buy 0.3155stocks to replicate the short put option. If we do this we cancreate a position that is completely riskless. That is, we are long oneput option and simultaneously short one synthetic put option. The neteffect eliminates all underlying asset price risk from theposition. You can check, at the end of the first period, that your portfolio is worth $10.69 whether the stock ticks up or down. In other words, you have created synthetically a risk free bond. Let us calculate theportfolio values to verify these numbers. Inthese calculations, we will assume that you started with one put option and nocash, so that if you buy stocks, you have to borrow money at the risk freeinterest rate (which is 10% or 0.10). Thisactually does not make any difference because you can assume you have someinitial amount of cash, and conduct similar calculations. Calculation at initialnode: You started with one put option worth $9.92, and bought 0.3155 stocks. The stock price at the initial node is 50, so you had to borrow 0.3155 x50 = 15.775. Your portfolio valueis: Quantity Value Put Option 1 9.68 Stock 0.31552 15.776 Cash -15.776 -15.776 Total 9.68 Notice that the value ofyour stocks cancel the borrowings, so that your portfolio value equals the valueof the put option you started with. Suppose there is a down-tick in period 1: At this node, the stock price is 25 and the put is worth $20.24. Since the risk-free interest rate is 10%, you have to pay interest on themoney you borrowed, so the net position is: Quantity Value Put Option 1 20.24 Stock 0.31552 7.888 Cash -15.776 -17.4352 Total 10.69 Suppose there is an up-tickin period 1:At this node, the stock price is 75 and the put is worth $4.47.Since the risk-free interest rate is 10%, you have to pay interest on themoney you borrowed, so the net position is: Quantity Value Put Option 1 4.47 Stock 0.31552 23.664 Cash -15.776 -17.4352 Total 10.69 Calculation at nodeafter initial down-tick Now, the binomial treefor put replication indicates that delta is -1: Since the delta is -1,you need to hold one stock when you leave this node.Since you have 0.31552 stocks, this means that you have to buy(1-.31552)=0.68448 more stocks. Thestock price is 25, so you have to borrow an additional (0.68448*25)=17.112.Let us see what happens when you do buy the additional stocks.Note that your borrowings are now $34.5472 (= 17.4352 + 17.112). If there is a subsequentdown-tick (so there was a down-tick followed by a down-tick), you position will be: Quantity Value Put Option 1 37.50 Stock 1 12.50 Cash -34.5472 -38.18 Total 11.82 If there is a subsequentup-tick (so there was a down-tick followed by an up-tick): Quantity Value Put Option 1 12.50 Stock 1 37.50 Cash -34.5472 -38.18 Total 11.82 Thisconfirms that your portfolio will be worth $11.82 along this path if you followthe trading strategy. Now,let us complete the calculation for the case where there was an initial up-tick. Calculation at nodeafter initial up-tick Now, the Binomial Treefor put replication tellsyou that the delta is -0.1667: Since the delta is-0.1667, you need to reduce your stock holdings.You started with 0.3155, so you have to sell 0.1488 stocks. The stockprice is 75, so you get $11.1637 from selling the stock.Your borrowings are therefore reduced to $6.2714, so in the next period,you will repay 6.2714 x exp(0.1) = 6.931. Letus see what happens. If there is a subsequentdown-tick (so there was an up-tick followed by a down-tick): Quantity Value Put Option 1 12.50 Stock 0.1667 6.25125 Cash -6.2714 -6.931 Total 11.82 If there is a subsequentup-tick (so there was an up-tick followed by an up-tick): Quantity Value Put Option 1 Stock 0.1667 18.75125 Cash -6.2714 -6.931 Total 11.82 (C) Copyright 2003, OS Financial Trading System