Energy Transfer's Monster Passive Income Stream Is a Lot Safer Than It Seems | The Motley Fool (2024)

Energy Transfer(ET 0.46%) offers a prodigious income stream. The master limited partnership (MLP) currently yields over 9%.

At first glance, that big-time payout might not seem sustainable. A quick peek at the energy midstream company's second-quarter results shows that its monster distribution significantly exceeded its reported net income.

However, a deeper look at the company's financial results tells a much different story. Here's why the MLP's big-time payout is much safer than it seems.

Drilling down into Energy Transfer's second-quarter results

Energy Transfer reported $1.2 million innet incomeduring the second quarter. That was down 24% from the prior-year period. Here's a snapshot of Energy Transfer'sincome statementshowing what drove the decline:

As that graphic shows, lower revenue and some higher expenses weighed on Energy Transfer's earnings in the second quarter.

The final number was even worse. After stripping out net income attributable to non-controlling interests, its actual reported net income was even lower at $911 million, or $0.25 per unit. This result might initially have income-focused investors a bit unnerved, considering that the MLP's current quarterly distribution rate is $0.31 per unit. It suggests the company is paying out more than 100% of its net income. While that's technically true, there's much more to the story here.

Energy midstream companies like Energy Transfer areasset-heavy. They own large networks ofpipelines, processing plants, export terminals, and storage complexes to support their operations. As assets age, companiesdepreciatetheir value, which reduces their current taxable net income.

However, depreciation is a non-cash expense. Because of that, the actual cash flows the company's vast asset base produces are much higher than its reported net income.

After adding back depreciation and subtracting maintenance and a few other expenses, Energy Transfer generated $1.6 billion of distributable cash flow during the second quarter. That's free cash flow the company could distribute to investors.

Energy Transfer only paid $975 million to investors in the period. That gave it a distribution coverage ratio of 1.6 times, enabling it to retain $579 million in excess cash after funding its distribution. It reinvested $387 million of this money into expansion projects while keeping the rest to strengthen its balance sheet. That allowed the MLP to maintain aleverage ratio toward the lower end of its 4.0 to 4.5 times target range.

With Energy Transfer generating more cash than it needs to fund its distribution and expansion projects, its high-yielding payout is on a very firm foundation.

The big-time payout is not only safe but also heading higher

Energy Transfer's ability to produce excess cash after paying distributions gives it lots of financial flexibility. It allows the company to continue expanding its asset base, which it did during the second quarter. In addition to investing $387 million across several organic expansion projects, Energy Transfer also spent $1.5 billion to acquire Lotus Midstream. That deal closed in early May and should be immediately accretive to its distributable and free cash flow.

The company plans to continue spending money to expand its asset base. It anticipates investing $2 billion to $3 billion into organic growth capital projects each year, including $2 billion in 2022. The MLP has several projects underway and more in the pipeline. For example, it's in discussions with customers to expand its Gulf Run Pipeline. It alsorecently secured several customersto support its proposed Lake CharlesLNG export terminal. These investments would give it more fuel to grow cash flow in the future. Meanwhile, it can continue making acquisitions as opportunities arise.

The company's expectations that cash flow will grow over the long term support its plan to continue increasing its distribution. Energy Transfer recently raised its quarterly distribution by another $0.0025 per unit (its second such raise at that rate this year), a pace it plans to continue. That puts it on track to grow its already high-yielding payout by 3% to 5% per year.

This cash flow machine has plenty of fuel to support its payout

Pipeline companies are a bit more complicated to understand. Investors need to shift their attention from more familiar metrics like reported net income to the actual cash flow their assets produce.

In Energy Transfer's case, it generates plenty of cash to cover its monster distribution with room to spare. That gives it some excess money to reinvest into expanding its asset base, which should grow its cash flow in the future. These growing cash flows support the MLP's plan to continue increasing its already massive payout. That makes it a great option for income-seeking investors to consider.

Matthew DiLallo has positions in Energy Transfer. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Energy Transfer's Monster Passive Income Stream Is a Lot Safer Than It Seems | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is Energy Transfer a good stock to buy? ›

Energy Transfer LP (ET) is on the list of such stocks currently recommended by our proprietary system. In addition to a favorable Growth Score, it carries a top Zacks Rank. Studies have shown that stocks with the best growth features consistently outperform the market.

How safe is Energy Transfer? ›

Energy Transfer has a comprehensive pipeline integrity program that enables us to monitor our assets 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. We also spend hundreds of millions of dollars each year maintaining and improving our assets as part of our Integrity Management Program.

What is the rating of Energy Transfer? ›

Energy Transfer LP has 21.95% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Is ET a Buy, Sell or Hold? Energy Transfer LP has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 8 buy ratings, 1 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.

What is the future of Energy Transfer? ›

Future Growth

Energy Transfer is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16% and 2.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.2% in 3 years.

Who owns the most Energy Transfer stock? ›

Top Shareholders
Holder# of SharesType
Kelcy Warren299,399,984Insider
Stephen A. Schwarzman147,449,969Institution
Alerian71,178,989Institution
Aim Investment Funds (invesco Investment Funds)55,750,726Institution
6 more rows

What is the outlook for Energy Transfer stock? ›

Based on short-term price targets offered by 13 analysts, the average price target for Energy Transfer LP comes to $19.00. The forecasts range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $24.00. The average price target represents an increase of 19.12% from the last closing price of $15.95.

Is ET dividend safe to buy? ›

Should you jump into Energy Transfer stock for the 9% dividend? With the exception of a global recession, the payout should remain stable, and likely for years to come. Just know that this is not a stock worth owning forever.

Who is behind energy transfer? ›

Kelcy Warren is Executive Chairman and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Energy Transfer LP. Mr. Warren has been a recognized leader in the energy industry for nearly 40 years. He co-founded Energy Transfer in 1996 as a small intrastate natural gas pipeline operator.

Is energy transfer is real? ›

The explanation to this is a follow up to the first law; it is true that energy cannot be created nor destroyed, but it can transform and transfer itself from one form to another and from one system to another.

Is energy transfer investment grade? ›

Energy Transfer LP (NYSE: ET) is a publicly traded, investment-grade limited partnership with a fully-integrated portfolio that enhances its ability to offer a wide range of services to both domestic and international markets.

What is the credit rating for energy transfer S&P? ›

Energy Transfer L.P.'s Senior Unsecured Notes Rated 'BBB', Junior Subordinated Notes Rated 'BB+'

What is the rate of energy transfer? ›

Power. Power = work done ÷ time taken. is the rate of transfer of energy between energy stores close energy storeThe different ways in which energy can be stored, including chemical, kinetic, gravitational potential, elastic potential and thermal stores..

Is Energy Transfer a safe investment? ›

Energy Transfer LP currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.20, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by 15 brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.20 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.

Is Energy Transfer a good company? ›

Energy Transfer has an employee rating of 3.7 out of 5 stars, based on 588 company reviews on Glassdoor which indicates that most employees have a good working experience there.

What happened to Energy Transfer? ›

Energy Transfer LP and Crestwood Equity Partners, LP Merger

On November 3, 2023, Energy Transfer LP (ET) and Crestwood Equity Partners, LP (CEQP) completed their previously announced merger, in which ET acquired CEQP.

Is TC Energy a good stock to buy now? ›

TC Energy's analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 10 Wall Streets Analysts.

Is Energy Transfer a profitable company? ›

Absolutely. That's because this company has a durable, structural advantage when it comes to generating profits. At its core, Energy Transfer is considered a midstream energy business.

What are the best electric energy stocks to buy? ›

Best-performing utility stocks
TickerCompanyPerformance (Year)
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation74.86%
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Inc.24.85%
SOSouthern Company24.81%
DUKDuke Energy Corp.23.12%
4 more rows
Aug 3, 2024

Who are the top investors in Energy Transfer? ›

Largest shareholders include Blackstone Group Inc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, AMLP - ALERIAN MLP ETF, Alps Advisors Inc, Invesco Ltd., Morgan Stanley, Bank Of America Corp /de/, Tortoise Capital Advisors, L.l.c., MLPRX - Invesco Oppenheimer SteelPath MLP Income Fund Class C, and UBS Group AG .

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