Forex markets on alert as IMF talks fail to gain currency (2024)

The world's foreign exchange markets are bracing themselves for fresh turbulence after weekend talks at the International Monetary Fund failed to ease fears of a currency war.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn said the time for talk was over after the fund's main policy body made little progress in settling the row between Washington and Beijing over China's alleged manipulation of its currency.

"The problem is that we can talk and talk and talk," said the IMF's managing director after it released a communique pledging member countries to "move toward a more balanced pattern of global growth, recognising the responsibilities of surplus and deficit countries".

Strauss-Kahn fears a "race to the bottom" as countries seek to depress the value of their currency to export their way out of recession.

He said: "The language is ineffective. The language is not going to change things. Policy has to be adapted. What we need is real action, and I don't believe that this action can be done in another way, in a non-co-operative way."

Finance ministers and central bank governors expressed concern about the deteriorating atmosphere, which has seen Japan weaken the yen and China warn that American demands for a sharp revaluation of the renminbi would lead to social and economic unrest. Last week, the dollar fell sharply against the yen and the euro.

Tim Geithner, the US treasury secretary, kept up the pressure on Beijing following the meeting of the IMF's international monetary and financial committee, the organisation's steering body.

He said the IMF should increase the "candour" of its surveillance of the exchange rate policies of member countries, which was leading them to build huge foreign exchange reserves.

"Excess reserve accumulation on a global scale is leading to serious distortions in the international monetary and financial system, and is inhibiting the international adjustment process," Geithner said.

He added that the big emerging countries, like China, should only have their demands met for a greater say in the running of the IMF if they moved towards "more market-oriented exchange rate policies that will reduce reliance on exports and strengthen domestic demand".

The US was supported by European and Japanese policymakers. Olli Rehn, the European commissioner for economic and financial affairs, said: "Going forward, risks of excess volatility and disorderly movements in exchange rates should be avoided in view of their adverse implications for economic and financial stability. In this respect, the Chinese authorities are encouraged to implement soon a more flexible exchange rate regime for the renminbi."

Yoshihiko Noda, Japan's finance minister, said: "A massive flow of funds from developed countries into emerging markets has caused the appreciation of local currencies and a surge in asset prices in emerging markets. Furthermore, these emerging markets are unable to implement monetary easing policies out of fear of renewed inflation.

"It is not sustainable that certain countries achieve growth while imposing costs on other countries."

China's deputy central bank governor, Yi Gang, said China was committed to a more flexible exchange rate but added that action was also required by developed countries such as the US in order to alleviate the global imbalance between surplus and deficit nations. Meanwhile Thailand's finance minister, Korn Chatikavanij, said: "The fact that there seems to be lack of agreement as to what needs to be done at the global level with the major economies is of concern to us.

"There seems to be a race to the bottom – US dollar, euro, renminbi – and that's very problematic."

At Beijing's insistence, the IMF communique said a priority was to have "strong and even-handed surveillance to uncover vulnerabilities in large advanced countries." Emerging countries have long complained that the fund has taken a soft approach with the US, reserving its stiffest policy advice for poor nations.

Strauss-Kahn said that instead of looking at the big five economies – the US, China, Japan, the euro zone and Britain – individually, the IMF would study them collectively to ensure policy advice was consistent with reducing global imbalances. He added that a deal to provide emerging economies with more clout at the fund was only "days or weeks away," but said power came with responsibility.

"What I have heard, and which makes sense, is that when countries want a bigger quota – to have more say, more voice, more influence at the IMF – then they must also share the problems of the whole," said Strauss-Kahn.

"You cannot be at the centre and be a free rider. The more you are at the centre, the more you need to play your part in stabilising the whole system.

Oxfam spokesman Mark Fried, said: "Thousands of people have flown in from all over the world for these meetings, and there's been no movement on any issues of significance.

"There's been a fight about currencies, and developing countries seem to have been forgotten: and hard decisions about reforming the way the IMF does business have been deferred."

Forex markets on alert as IMF talks fail to gain currency (2024)

FAQs

What does IMF mean in forex? ›

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) works to achieve sustainable growth and prosperity for all of its 190 member countries. It does so by supporting economic policies that promote financial stability and monetary cooperation, which are essential to increase productivity, job creation, and economic well-being.

What are the problems with foreign exchange market? ›

There are three main types of foreign exchange risk, also known as foreign exchange exposure: transaction risk, translation risk, and economic risk. A fourth – jurisdiction risk – arises when laws unexpectedly change in the country where the exporter is doing business.

What is the role of the IMF in international trade? ›

The IMF works to help reduce poverty, encourage trade, and promote financial stability and economic growth around the world. It accomplishes this by monitoring capacity building and providing loans.

Which of the following is a risk when investing in foreign exchange markets? ›

Foreign exchange risk refers to the risk that a business' financial performance or financial position will be affected by changes in the exchange rates between currencies. The three types of foreign exchange risk include transaction risk, economic risk, and translation risk.

What are the 5 currencies of the IMF? ›

The value of the SDR is based on a basket of five currencies—the U.S. dollar, the euro, the Chinese renminbi, the Japanese yen, and the British pound sterling.

Which currency is added in IMF? ›

Detailed Solution. The correct answer is Renminbi. The SDR is an international reserve asset, created by the IMF in 1969. SDRs are artificial currency created to augment international liquidity.

Is foreign exchange trading risky? ›

Exchange rates are very volatile.

There are significant investment risks as currency fluctuations may move against you, causing you to lose money.

Is it illegal to exchange currency for profit? ›

In summary, currency transactions are legal in most countries, but they require compliance with certain regulations and laws. Investors should understand the laws and regulations of their country and comply with them to avoid any illegal behavior.

Is foreign exchange high risk? ›

Because forex trading operates with a relatively high degree of leverage, the potential risks are magnified compared to other markets.

Where does IMF get money from? ›

How is the IMF financed? The IMF's resources mainly come from the money that countries pay as their capital subscription (quotas) when they become members. Each member of the IMF is assigned a quota, based broadly on its relative position in the world economy.

Who controls the world economy? ›

Although governments do hold power over countries' economies, it is the big banks and large corporations that control and essentially fund these governments. This means that the global economy is dominated by large financial institutions.

Which country has the highest loan from the IMF? ›

Total IMF Credit Outstanding Movement From April 01, 2024 to April 29, 2024
MemberTotal IMF Credit Outstanding as of 03/31/2024Total IMF Credit Outstanding as of 04/29/2024
Argentina32,450,000,00032,450,000,000
Armenia, Republic of257,725,848257,725,848
Bahamas, The114,000,000114,000,000
Bangladesh1,353,626,5501,335,342,050
68 more rows

When not to trade forex? ›

There will be times where a currency is moving differently from normal. Perhaps price is spiking and you don't know why. This is a good time to stay out of the market. If you can't understand why price is behaving in a certain way, it is usually due to some unscheduled news that has been released or leaked.

Is forex riskier than stocks? ›

The forex market is far more volatile than the stock market, where profits can come easily to an experienced and focused trader. However, forex also comes with a much higher level of leverage​ and less traders tend to focus less on risk management​, making it a riskier investment that could have adverse effects.

How do you identify a trade scammer? ›

Top three signs you might be dealing with a forex scam
  1. Unbalanced claims. ...
  2. Requests for money. ...
  3. Lifestyle pictures or testimonials from “successful” traders. ...
  4. Unregulated (or lightly regulated) forex brokers. ...
  5. Binary options. ...
  6. Clone firms. ...
  7. Social media scams and imposters. ...
  8. Scam signal providers.
Mar 5, 2024

What does IMF stand for? ›

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization of 190 countries, working to foster global monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and sustainable economic growth, and reduce poverty around the world.

Does the IMF give money? ›

What kind of financial assistance does the IMF offer? Unlike development banks, the IMF does not lend for specific projects. Instead, the IMF provides financial support to countries hit by crises to create breathing room as they implement policies that restore economic stability and growth.

How does IMF get money? ›

IMF funds come from three sources: member quotas, multilateral and bilateral borrowing agreements. Member quotas are the primary source of IMF funding. A member country's quota reflects its size and position in the world economy. Read more on how the IMF regularly reviews quotas.

How much money is in IMF? ›

The IMF's current total resources of about SDR 982 billion translate into a capacity for lending of about SDR 695 billion (around US$932 billion), as at mid-December 2023.

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