How To Trade Divergences in Forex? (2024)

Abstract:Normally, both the price and the technical indicator should move in the same direction. And many traders use different indicators when trading forex in order to get additional confirmation for their signals.

How To Trade Divergences in Forex? (1)

Divergence is one of the most powerful trading signals that combines price action analysis with the use of indicators to help traders look for clues between indicator and price action.

In this article, we will tell you the concept of divergence and explain how it is formed, in the context of the forex markets and relative to the indicators and outline the different types of divergences that are formed.

What Is A Divergence in Trading?

Forex divergence is defined as a case when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator.

For example, a divergence forms on a chart when price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high. Similarly, price makes lower low but the oscillator makes higher low. It is a warning sign that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to a change in the direction of the price.

The first thing to remember is that divergence itself should not be a signal to enter the market. You must have the main signal, and the divergence will act as a confirmation of this signal.

Different Types of Divergences

There are two main types of divergences, a regular divergence, and a hidden divergence. Let's explain both types in the following lines.

Regular Divergence

This type of regular divergence pattern come in two forms: Bearish Divergence and Bullish Divergence. A bullish divergence occurs during a downtrend, when the price makes lower lows but the indicator makes higher lows. As price and momentum should move in the same direction, if the indicator fails to make a lower low this is a sign that the trend may reverse. In this case, we should expect an upward movement; that is, the trader needs to get ready to buy.

A bearish divergence occurs when price creates higher tops on the chart, while your indicator is giving you lower tops. After a bearish divergence, price usually makes a rapid bearish move. Notice that this happens despite the previous bullish attitude in the price. A regular bearish divergence is a signal that the price is expected to cancel its upward trend and to switch to a downward trajectory.

How To Trade Divergences in Forex? (2)

Hidden Divergences

Unlike regular divergences, a hidden divergence indicates that the underlying trend may continue. Hidden divergences can also be grouped into hidden bullish divergences, and hidden bearish divergences.

To detect hidden bullish divergence, you need to pay attention to the lows of the chart, as well as the indicator. This kind of divergence occurs when the market is upward, drawing high lows, and the indicator reading lower. At times also referred to as positive reverse divergence.

As you probably guess, a hidden bearish divergence has the same character as the hidden bullish divergence, but in the opposite direction. We confirm a hidden bearish divergence when the price is showing lower tops, and the indicator gives higher tops. If you spot a hidden bearish divergence, chances are the current downtrend will continue in the future.

How To Trade Divergences in Forex? (3)

How to Trade with Divergences in Forex?

A divergence does not always lead to a strong reversal and often price just enters a sideways consolidation after a divergence. Keep in mind that a divergence just signals a loss of momentum, but does not necessarily signal a complete trend shift.

You can find divergence with any oscillator indicator. However, the results vary with the currency pairs and the chosen indicator. Among all, we have shortlisted the top three oscillator indicators that can be very helpful in your trading.

1. MACD

The MACD indicator can be very beneficial for finding the divergence and spotting early trend reversal in currencies. You can use the default settings of the indicator on any timeframe. However, it is better to use 1-hour timeframe. You can use take profit and stop-loss at fixed 20 pips difference or you can use the support and resistance levels as well.

2. RSI

The RSI indicator relative strength index identifies the overbought or oversold zones, themselves as entry and exit signals. Another strong trading signal is the RSI divergence indicator.

3. Stochastics

Stochastic is a widely used indicator for divergence. The recommended timeframe is 1-hour while the indicator can be used to exit the trades based on overbought and oversold conditions.

In addition, before you start trading divergence makes sure you go through these trading rules:

-Divergence can only show up in 4 different price scenarios

-For bearish divergence, the swing high prices typically correspond to an indicator's high point

-For bullish divergence, the swing low prices typically correspond to an indicator's low pointThe -slope – or the angle of the line connecting the highs and lows tells us how strong the divergence actually is

-Never chase divergence if the price action played out

How To Trade Divergences in Forex? (4)
How To Trade Divergences in Forex? (2024)

FAQs

How To Trade Divergences in Forex? ›

Seeing divergence increases profitability by alerting a trader to protect profits. Technical traders generally use divergence when the price moves in the opposite direction of a technical indicator.

Is trading divergence profitable? ›

Seeing divergence increases profitability by alerting a trader to protect profits. Technical traders generally use divergence when the price moves in the opposite direction of a technical indicator.

What is the best indicator for divergence in forex? ›

The best divergence indicators mt4 are MACD, RSI, stochastic, OA. They are user-friendly and simple but provide quite accurate trading signals. You can learn more about stochastic oscillator trading forex in the article Stochastic Oscillator: guide for using indicator in Forex trading.

How to see divergence in trading? ›

In a nutshell, divergence can be seen by comparing price action and the movement of an indicator. It doesn't really matter what indicator you use. You can use RSI, MACD, Stochastic, CCI, etc.

What timeframe is best for divergence? ›

Divergences on shorter time frames will occur more frequently but are less reliable. We advise only look for divergences on 1-hour charts or longer. Other traders use 15-minute charts or even faster.

What is the triple divergence strategy? ›

The Three Period Divergence strategy is a trading system developed by Perry Kaufman, which is based upon analysis of momentum-price divergence. Best applied to daily price data, this strategy identifies time points where a momentum indicator (in our case, the Stochastic) and the price move away from each other.

Which divergence is most accurate? ›

The strongest divergences are Class A divergences; exhibiting less strength are Class B divergences, and the weakest divergences are Class C. The best trading opportunities are indicated by Class A divergences, while Class B and C divergences represent choppy market action and should generally be ignored.

How do you spot divergence easily? ›

To spot divergences using trend indicators, you need to compare the direction of the price and the indicator. If the price is making higher highs and higher lows, but the indicator is making lower highs and lower lows, you have a bearish divergence.

What is divergence trading strategy? ›

Divergence is when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, or is moving contrary to other data. Divergence warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.

What is the number one mistake forex traders make? ›

Trading without a Plan

Successful, experienced traders have a well-defined strategy, and they know when they should enter and exit trades. They also have plans about how much they're willing to risk. Trading without a plan is one of the biggest mistakes made by new traders.

What is the trick to forex trading? ›

One of the most important rules is to trade with the trend: if the market is going up, place a 'buy' trade; and if it's going down, place a 'sell' trade. It's probably not a sensible idea to attempt to pick the top or the base.

Is there a secret to trading forex? ›

In forex trading, avoiding large losses is more important than making large profits. That may not sound quite right to you if you're a novice in the market, but it is nonetheless true. Winning forex trading involves knowing how to preserve your capital.

Which trading style is most profitable? ›

The defining feature of day trading is that traders do not hold positions overnight; instead, they seek to profit from short-term price movements occurring during the trading session.It can be considered one of the most profitable trading methods available to investors.

What is the success rate of MACD divergence? ›

MACD with PRC has a 90% success rate. A stock's moving averages should at least approach one another, if not cross, before you act on that stock. MACDs rely on three exponential moving averages instead of one or two. Look for patterns where the three moving averages come together closely.

Is algorithmic trading really profitable? ›

You have already seen how algorithmic trading is profitable with regard to helping you save time and efforts. Also, algorithmic trading offers accuracy when it comes to predicting the trade positions (entry and exit).

Does RSI divergence really work? ›

Both RSI and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) can be effective for identifying divergence. However, the choice between the two often boils down to personal preference and trading style. Some traders prefer RSI for its simplicity, while others favor MACD for its ability to capture both trend and momentum.

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