How We Missed Out On a $70,000 House Flip | Financial Pilgrimage (2024)

Around this time last year my wife and I sat down at a restaurant and discussed our goals for 2017. It was the first time we actually sat down and talked about our goals together. While we had discussions in past years about saving money and paying down debt, we didn’t have much focus or direction.

Paying down debt remained a priority in the beginning of 2016. However, I was easily distracted in the pursuit of other interests. For example, even though we started the year focused on paying down the mortgage the focus changed a few times and eventually we found ourselves with a rental property under contract. The plan was to use a combination of savings and home equity to make a “cash” purchase. We’d then refinance after six-to-twelve months.

The asking price of the property was $89,000 and we eventually got it under contract for $65,000. We knew the property needed some work and then the inspection report raised additional concerns. The front porch was separating from the house, there was termite damage in the basem*nt, and siding on the outside of the house needed to be replaced. This didn’t include all of the cosmetic work needed as the house hadn’t been updated in decades. It would have been a huge undertaking for someone like me with little experience fixing up homes.

To Partner or Not to Partner

Due to my lack of experience, I was planning to partner with a contractor I had invested with in the past.A couple years prior I invested $10,000 into a flip project with this contractor. This was a significant amount of money as I still had more than $100,000 in debt and only $20,000 in total savings not including retirement. He purchased two homes using mostly his own money and a smaller percentage of money from a few small investors such as myself.

The first house was flipped and sold within 6 months for a decent profit and I was paid nearly $1,000. Not a bad return on my money for being a silent investor. The second house took almost another year to sell. We didn’t receive any additional profit though the initial investment was returned. In the end it wasn’t the best investment, but we got our money back with a small return so I was willing to give the partnership another shot, especially since he was a really good contractor.

Back to the original story, I’m not sure what the rehab cost would have been on the property I had under contract in 2016. Our best estimate was about $30,000 to flip and $10,000 to $20,000 to rent.

The Decision

I ended up backing out of the deal for a few reasons including not being comfortable with using equity from my personal residence, concerns that had surfaced with my potential partner, and the results of the inspection report. I knew this was probably still a good deal and I hated backing out so late, but going through the process made me realize how unfocused I was in pursuit of financial independence. I’ll admit, once I had the house under contract I started to think of all the things that could go wrong and fear set in as well.

The house was eventually purchased by a flipper who fixed up the property and resold it.According to Zillowthe selling price of the home was $134,750.The pictures of the listing confirmed that a lot of work went into the house (see below). I doubt the rehab cost anywhere near $70,000, so there was likely a large profit made from the flip. Therefore, the title of this blog post is a bit misleading as the overall profit was much less than $70,000, though if I had to guess the profit was still well into five figures.

How We Missed Out On a $70,000 House Flip | Financial Pilgrimage (1)

Before and After Photos of the House

No Regrets

This was huge missed opportunity on the surface. Though I don’t regret it (for the most part).

My wife and I have been at this debt payoff game for more than five years now. One of the reasons why it has taken so long is the lack of focus. We have always been pretty good at saving money. The problem is I have shiny object syndrome and have changed direction several times. Unexpected costs have come up for our own home such as a new roof or HVAC system. Other times we have overspent on cars, a bathroom remodel, or vacation. Once you get good at saving money, it’s really hard to stay disciplined to not make a big purchase. It takes years to build up a decent amount of savings, and only a small moment of weakness to spend it.

After backing out of the contract we made a firm decision to go all-in to pay off our mortgage. We have made great progress ever since. As of mid-2016 our mortgage was just above $100,000. At the end of 2017 we approaching the $30,000 mark. Most of the pay down was due to applying $30,000 from savings to the mortgage. It was surreal to take $30,000 that had taken years to save up and have it be gone to the mortgage in the blink of an eye.

Returning Focus to the Mortgage

Our focus remains on paying down our mortgage and once we accomplish this goal, we will move onto something different. Maybe we will take another swing at rental properties, maybe we save up money to fix up our current house, maybe we will save money and start looking for a new home in a similar price range, or maybe we will start dumping a bunch of money into retirement or index funds. Regardless, we will pick one goal and have complete focus on achieving it, whether that goal is directly related to our pursuit of financial independence or doing what is best for our family (e.g, looking for a home in a better school district).

The fear factor is a real thing as well. When we try real estate again I’m sure we’ll be scared. However, not using home equity will allow us to be more accepting of the risk. We plan to take advantage of loans next time to make a 20 percent down payment. Good deals may be tougher to come by without using cash. Taking a loan will allow us to get into the real estate game quicker without risking our current home.

Our goal going into 2018 is to become completely debt free before my 37th birthday in October, and hopefully sooner. Financial independence is still a ways away. However, I am looking forward to not owing money to anyone (at least for a while).

How We Missed Out On a $70,000 House Flip | Financial Pilgrimage (2)

Financial Pilgrimage

Mark is the founder of Financial Pilgrimage, a blog dedicated to helping young families pay down debt and live financially free. Mark has a Bachelor’s degree in financial management and a Master’s degree in economics and finance. He is a husband of one and father of two and calls St. Louis, MO, home. He also loves playing in old man baseball leagues, working out, and being anywhere near the water. Mark has been featured in Yahoo! Finance, NerdWallet, and the Plutus Awards Showcase.

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How We Missed Out On a $70,000 House Flip | Financial Pilgrimage (2024)

FAQs

What is an example of the 70% rule in house flipping? ›

Let's say you estimate it will take $40,000 to renovate your new home before you resell it. Subtract that $40,000 from the $154,000 figure and you are left with $114,000. That figure is the estimated maximum price you should spend on your new home, according to the 70% rule.

How do I get the most out of my house flip? ›

  1. 21 House Flipping Tips to Maximize Profit and Avoid Common Mistakes. ...
  2. Make sure you have enough cash. ...
  3. Get a rough idea of what common repairs and expenses cost. ...
  4. Start talking with potential buyers. ...
  5. Go where the discounted properties are. ...
  6. Get a professional inspection. ...
  7. Learn the neighborhood.

How much should you make on a house flip? ›

How much profit should you make on a flip? On average, a rehabber shoots for a 10 to 20% profit of the After Repair Value, but it varies depending on the market and the specific project risks. A 10% profit would be on the lower end, and a 20% profit would be considered a 'home-run' by most rehabber's standards.

How do you calculate return on a house flip? ›

With a flipped home, if you spend $200,000 total, and make a $40,000 net profit when you resell, your ROI will be $40,000 ÷ $200,000, or 20%.

What are red flags for house flipping? ›

Flippers are looking at the bottom line profit and often spending extra money to replace roofs, electrical, plumbing or fixing structural issues are not top of mind. Look at these items primarily. Flipping a home often is focusing on making it look esthetically nice.

What is the golden rule for flipping houses? ›

Many home flippers abide by the so-called golden rule for house flipping: the 70% rule, which says that you should pay no more than 70% of what you estimate the house's ARV (after-repair value) to be. You generally calculate ARV as the current property value plus the added value of any renovations you do.

What is the hardest part of flipping a house? ›

Even if you get every detail right, changing market conditions could mean that every assumption you made at the beginning will be invalid by the end.
  1. Not Enough Money. Dabbling in real estate is expensive. ...
  2. Not Enough Time. Flipping houses is time-consuming. ...
  3. Not Enough Skills. ...
  4. Not Enough Knowledge. ...
  5. Not Enough Patience.

What adds value to a house flip? ›

Home upgrades with a high return on investment include: Landscaping and improving the home's exterior. Kitchen renovations. Bathroom renovations.

Is flipping houses still profitable in 2024? ›

According to experts, house flipping will remain a lucrative business in 2024 as home prices are predicted to rise approximately 5% nationally.

How do house flippers find houses? ›

Home flippers in California usually adopt these two practices:
  1. They Buy Properties at a Discount: Most home flippers go for distressed properties such as probate homes and foreclosures. ...
  2. They Sell For Sale By Owner: House flippers list on the MLS for a small flat fee and sell FSBO.
May 22, 2024

Does flipping a house count as income? ›

Generally, the profit from house flipping is taxed as ordinary income and is subject to self-employment tax if the house flip is done by an individual. Frequent house flippers can reduce their self-employment tax liability by purchasing the houses through an LLC or S-corp.

How do you estimate a house flip? ›

Use The 70% Rule In House Flipping

While 10% is a reliable ballpark figure for flipping expenses, you can also use the 70% rule to decide if a home is worth buying. This rule limits your expenses to 70% of the after-repair value (ARV) minus the estimated repair costs, ensuring you make worthwhile money with the flip.

What is the formula for flipping a property? ›

To use the 70% Rule, you need to know the After Repair Value (ARV) of the investment property that you are hoping to flip. Once you have the ARV, you will simply multiply it by 70% and then deduct the expected rehab costs. The number that you're left with is the maximum price that you should pay for the house.

What is a good cash on cash return for flipping houses? ›

Typically, investors want their cash on cash return to be at least 10%, though many BRRR investors are able to generate cash on cash returns that are infinite because they pull out all of their invested cash when they cash out refi, and their property generates cash flow on $0 of invested cash.

What are examples of rule of 70? ›

For example, if the growth rate for China is estimated as 10%, the Rule of 70 predicts it would take seven years, or 70/10, for China's real GDP to double.

How do you calculate a 70% rule? ›

70% Rule: Formula and Example
  1. Formula: (ARV * 0.7) – rehab.
  2. Example: ($100,000 * 0.7) = $50,000.
Jan 3, 2024

What is the rule of 70 and how does it work use an example? ›

The Rule of 70 Formula

Hence, the doubling time is simply 70 divided by the constant annual growth rate. For instance, consider a quantity that grows consistently at 5% annually. According to the Rule of 70, it will take 14 years (70/5) for the quantity to double.

What is the formula for buying a house to flip? ›

The 70% rule means you should only purchase a property to flip if its price—plus the amount you expect to spend on renovations and repairs—is 70% or less of what you think the house's value will be when you resell it. This helps you avoid overspending on a property that'll give you little return on your investment.

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