P/E not best tool to value a stock. Which ratio to apply to which sector? (2024)

Synopsis

The problem is, the P/E ratio overlooks assets and liabilities, which usually have a material impact on valuation. That means the price-to-earnings ratio is useful, but only to a point.

P/E not best tool to value a stock. Which ratio to apply to which sector? (1)Shutterstock.com

By DK Aggarwal

The price-to-earnings ratio is one of the topmost tools for stock valuation. But one cannot measure the growth potential of a company only on the basis of P/E. Before diving in to check if P/E a good measures of stock valuation, let’s understand what this ratio exactly is.

The price-to-earnings ratio measures the current share price relative to its earnings per share (EPS). This meaning, thereby, that the P/E ratio shows how much the market is willing to pay for each rupee earned by the company.

Valuation of a stock is usually analysed through multiples such as price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio), earnings per share (EPS), price to book value (P/BV), price to sales (P/S), EV/Ebitda (enterprise value/earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation), etc. in a certain order.

The P/E ratio is the most commonly used one; it is also one of the most useful, as it helps narrow down the universe of possible investable choices. Actually, the P/E ratio is used to determine relative value of a company's shares in an apple-to-apple comparison i.e within the same industry. The lower the ratio, the more attractive the stock is, as long as the stock has the growth potential.

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A high P/E ratio could mean that a company's stock is over-valued, or else investors are expecting high growth rates in the future.

The problem is, the P/E ratio overlooks assets and liabilities, which usually have a material impact on valuation. That means the price-to-earnings ratio is useful, but only to a point.

In the current scenario for instance, there is a disruption in businesses due to Covid-19 and earnings of many companies have come down sharply, but their P/E ratios remain high. Here one needs to understand that the market is forward looking, and is pricing in future earnings. In some cases, the P/E ratios may have corrected substantially. Thus, relying on this ratio alone may not lead to right decisions in the current scenario.

The reason behind this is that if one using purely trailing P/E, the denominator reflecting earnings growth of trailing 12 months may no longer reflect the earnings reality amid the ongoing economic shocks. Thus, the P/E will seem optically low, as share prices have corrected sharply relative to the trailing earnings profile.

Stock valuations are not static, but dynamic. Depending on broader factors, such as market sentiment and sectoral preferences, they keep changing with time.

The P/E ratio is indeed a useful starting point. But it is not the end of an analysis of a company. Unfortunately, there is no single tool for all industries and stocks.

One ratio cannot be applied blindly to value stocks across sectors. As with so many things in financial markets, it is difficult to apply a thumb rule. A high growth, low capital-intensive company must be valued on P/E, whereas the P/BV or the replacement value is considered a more appropriate tool to value capital-intensive businesses.

While cement manufacturers are best valued using EV/Ebitda, real estate firms are best analysed using NAV. A good way of understanding a company’s valuation is to look at it in the context of the sector in which it operates. One needs to have a fair understanding of the nature of business and sectoral growth prospects to arrive at an appropriate tool to value a business.

DK Aggarwal is Chairman and MD, SMC Investments and Advisors.

(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of www.economictimes.com.)

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P/E not best tool to value a stock. Which ratio to apply to which sector? (2024)

FAQs

What sector PE ratio is good? ›

As far as Nifty is concerned, it has traded in a PE range of 10 to 30 historically. Average PE of Nifty in the last 20 years was around 20.* So PEs below 20 may provide good investment opportunities; lower the PE below 20, more attractive the investment potential.

How would you use the PE ratio to decide which stock to purchase? ›

For example, a low P/E ratio could suggest a stock is undervalued and worth buying. However, including the company's growth rate to get its PEG ratio might tell a different story. PEG ratios can be termed “trailing” if using historical growth rates or “forward” if using projected growth rates.

When not to use PE ratio? ›

The biggest limitation of the P/E ratio: It tells investors next to nothing about the company's EPS growth prospects. If the company is growing quickly, you will be comfortable buying it even it had a high P/E ratio, knowing that growth in EPS will bring the P/E back down to a lower level.

Why is PE ratio not a good indicator? ›

It is far more likely that any P/E increase will be the direct result of eroding earnings or lower EPS, which isn't the way investors would like to see a bullish rise in a company's P/E.

Which sector has the lowest PE ratio? ›

Healthcare companies often have lower P/E ratios due to regulatory risks and high research and development costs. Consumer goods companies typically have moderate P/E ratios due to the steady demand for their products.

How to find sector PE ratio? ›

Sector PE ratio is calculated as market capitalisation of the sector divided by gross earnings of the sector. Market capitalisation of the sector is calculated as the sum total of the outstanding equity shares multiplied by the close price for each company of the sector.

Do you want PE ratio to be high or low? ›

P/E ratio, or price-to-earnings ratio, is a quick way to see if a stock is undervalued or overvalued. And so generally speaking, the lower the P/E ratio is, the better it is for both the business and potential investors.

Why are people willing to buy a stock with a high PE ratio? ›

This can be due in part to the consistency of earnings, the anticipation for increased earnings, and the industry group that each stock is in. If investors are excited about the prospects for a given company, they may be willing to accept a higher P/E ratio in order to buy its shares.

What is Best Buy PE ratio? ›

As of today (2024-07-30), Best Buy Co's share price is $84.83. Best Buy Co's Earnings per Share (Diluted) for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2024 was $5.71. Therefore, Best Buy Co's PE Ratio (TTM) for today is 14.86.

When to use P/E ratio for valuation? ›

The most common use of the P/E ratio is to gauge the valuation of a stock or index. The higher the ratio, the more expensive a stock is relative to its earnings. The lower the ratio, the less expensive the stock. In this way, stocks and equity mutual funds can be classified as “growth” or “value” investments.

What if PE ratio is less than industry PE ratio? ›

If a company's PE ratio is lower than its industry's average then it signifies that the company might be having more debt in the books relative to its peers or might be losing market share or might be having lower profit margins relative to its peers or there is some governance issues in the management.

Why PE is not a good indicator? ›

Accounting rules can change, shifting reported earnings without any real change in the underlying business. The large number of accounting loopholes makes it easy for executives to mislead investors. PE ratios overlook assets and liabilities that have a material impact on valuation.

Which PE ratio is good to buy stock? ›

Typically, the average P/E ratio is around 20 to 25. Anything below that would be considered a good price-to-earnings ratio, whereas anything above that would be a worse P/E ratio. But it doesn't stop there, as different industries can have different average P/E ratios.

How to select stocks based on PE ratio? ›

A low P/E ratio might indicate that the current stock price is low relative to earnings. An investor could look for stocks within an industry that is expected to benefit from the economic cycle and find companies with the lowest P/Es to determine which stocks are the most undervalued.

What is an overrated PE ratio? ›

P/E ratio's effectiveness at Individual stock level

When this return is positive, it means the P/E ratio is effectively identifying under- and over-valued stocks. Notice that this effectiveness has been steadily declining over the last two decades, and is now worse than random.

What is the average PE for financial sector? ›

Average P/E Ratio for the Financial Services Industry

Specifically, investors study the P/E ratios of brokerage firms, banking operations, asset managers, as well as debt and credit service providers. To cite an actual example, on August 2021, the average P/E ratio of the financial services industry was 7.60.

What is the average PE ratio of the retail sector? ›

The current P/E ratio for the retail sector, an average of the subsectors' ratios, is 64.65 (current as of January 2021). The average trailing P/E ratio for the retail industry in January 2021 was 22.70.

What is a good p/b ratio for stocks? ›

P/B Ratios and Public Companies

Traditionally, any value under 1.0 is considered desirable for value investors, indicating an undervalued stock may have been identified.

Is a PE ratio of 5 good? ›

A P/E ratio of 5 could be considered good or bad depending on the industry and the company's growth prospects. For example, the industry average P/E for oil and gas companies is 6.3. This means that if an E&P company is trading for below that, the company is currently priced cheaper than the industry average.

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