Precious metals: 2024 outlook (2024)

The start of next year could remain challenging for precious metals based on our central forecast that the Fed will be more hawkish than the market is expecting, thus helping to keep the dollar strong. However, abating inflationary pressures and weakening global economic activity should lead major central banks in developed economies to shift their priority from fighting inflation to supporting growth. The start of monetary easing cycles should limit the upside for long-term interest rates, meaning that the drag on gold and silver caused by its opportunity cost could abate somewhat. In addition, the global economic outlook could improve in the later part of 2024, providing a more supportive environment for industrial demand.

Since 2022, there has been what is likely a structural shift in gold demand. On the one hand, investment demand is likely to be lower than in the last decade, but on the other official demand should stabilise at a higher level. On a more tactical basis, the likelihood that interest rates have peaked should help gold prices by lowering the opportunity cost. And long-term interest rates that remain relatively high compared to the recent past need not be completely negative for gold, as high long-term rates could also raise concerns about the ability of highly indebted countries to finance their debt. In such an environment, one would likely see increasing inflows into gold, which bears no default risk.

Overall, however, while we expect gold prices to appreciate moderately in 2024, gold’s outperformance relative to other precious metals should end. Silver looks to us the most attractive of precious metals because of our expectations that major central banks will start easing rates as well as prospects for long-running physical deficits. Platinum should continue to outperform palladium, which remains unattractive in our view.

Longer term, the structural shift towards green energy could also lead to higher industrial demand for silver, but also for platinum thanks to rising fuel cell needs. Overall, next year should prove more supportive of precious metals, but with gold performing less well than others (with the exception of palladium).

Our 12-month projections per troy ounce are USD2,100 for gold, USD27 for silver, USD1,030 for platinum and USD1,050 for palladium.

Precious metals: 2024 outlook (2024)

FAQs

Will precious metals go up in 2024? ›

Gold prices are expected to climb to $2,500/oz by the end of 2024, according to J.P. Morgan Research estimates. This prediction assumes a Fed cutting cycle commencing in November 2024, pushing gold prices to new nominal highs.

What is the metal prediction for 2024? ›

What is the Metal price prediction for 2024? Metal is forecasted to trade within a range of $ 0.781564 and $ 2.52. If it reaches the upper price target, MTL could increase by 169.53% and reach $ 2.52.

What is the prediction for precious metals? ›

In 2025, the price of platinum is forecast to hover around 1,150 U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Meanwhile, the cost of per troy ounce of gold is expected to amount to 1,700 U.S. dollars.

What does Warren Buffett say about precious metals? ›

Warren Buffett has famously stated that he does not favor investing in gold or other precious metals. His primary argument is that precious metals, unlike productive assets, do not generate earnings or cash flow.

How much will an ounce of gold be worth in 2024? ›

Gold's price forecast for Q1 2024 at Bloomberg Terminal is between $1,913.63-$2,224.22. Goldman Sachs commodity analysts expect the potential upside of the gold price to be closely tied to changes in US interest rates and dollar movements, leading them to raise the gold price target for 2024 to $2,050 an ounce.

What will 1 oz of silver be worth in 10 years? ›

10-Year Prediction

According to many long-term forecasts, the value of silver is expected to go above $70 per ounce in 10 years, and some even predict it will get close to $80 per ounce. However, this amount could increase. Most value increases are due to supply and demand based on past market prices and predictions.

What is the price forecast for metals in 2024? ›

In 2024, nickel, iron ore, and zinc prices are projected to post the most significant declines year-on-year, at 21%, 9%, and 6%, respectively. However, copper and tin prices are forecast to increase modestly by 5% and 4%, respectively, while aluminum is expected to see a slight rise of 2%.

What will gold futures be worth in 2024? ›

Recent Contracts
LastChg
Gold Sep 2024$2,452.9016.70
Gold Oct 2024$2,463.0015.70
Gold Dec 2024$2,486.1016.30
Gold Feb 2025$2,505.3014.20
6 more rows

What is the best metal to invest in for the future? ›

Gold often tops the list due to its status as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. Silver, palladium, and platinum are also considered valuable investments, with demand driven by industries such as electric vehicles, solar panels, and jewelry manufacturing.

Is it worth investing in silver in 2024? ›

There's a high probability that silver will outperform gold in 2024, and this is due to the shift to solar power. The shift to solar power will increase the prices of silver. There has also been the resolution of supply chain issues.

Is it time to invest in precious metals? ›

The main reason to invest in gold, silver or platinum is to diversify your investment portfolio with assets not correlated to the stock and bond markets. In 2022, when stocks and bonds widely recorded double-digit losses, gold climbed by 0.4%, silver rose 6.3% and platinum jumped by 12.2%1.

How much of my wealth should be in precious metals? ›

Generally speaking, investors put about 10-15% of their wealth into precious metals. Although gold is under-allocated in investment portfolios, the majority of our clients invest around 10-15% of their assets in precious metals.

Why don't Buffett buy gold? ›

As Buffett told his shareholders at a Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, “If you take all the gold in the world…and put it into a cube, it will be a cube that's about 67 feet on a side…but it's not going to do anything for you.” Buffett therefore doesn't see any utility in owning gold because it can't produce things.

Are precious metals a good investment during a recession? ›

Purchase Precious Metal Investments.

Precious metals, like gold or silver, tend to perform well during market slowdowns. But since the demand for these kinds of commodities often increases during recessions, their prices usually go up too. You can invest in precious metals in a few different ways.

Why did Buffett buy silver? ›

Therefore, silver meets Buffett's requirement of having a real and identifiable value. Even better, from the point of view of an investor, silver is almost uniquely suited to a number of the uses it serves as an industrial metal and would be difficult to replace with any substitute material.

What is the gold prediction for 2024? ›

Gold rate forecast in India
MonthForecasted gold rate (as per gram in INR)
August 2024Rs. 5,450
September 2024Rs. 5,500
October 2024Rs. 5,550
November 2024Rs. 5,600
1 more row
Jun 5, 2024

What will silver be worth in 2025? ›

Silver prices are expected to rise steadily through 2025, reaching approximately $33.00 per ounce by year-end. Long-term projections indicate continued growth, with prices potentially reaching $57.50 by 2035.

What will gold be worth in 5 years? ›

With a keen eye for economic trends and market cycles, Kiyosaki's forecasts offer valuable insights for precious metals investors. Kiyosaki presents a nuanced forecast for gold prices, predicting them to reach $3,700 in 2024 and $5,000 in 2025.

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