Stocks will fall 20-30% from a 2024 peak - JPMorgan By Investing.com (2024)

JPMorgan equity strategists caution that the upside for global stock markets is now largely capped.

“We stick to our view that upside from here appears limited and that equities will fall 20-30% from a 2024 peak,” strategists wrote in a note.

Despite this bleak outlook, the strategists maintain a favorable view towards small caps, suggesting they present a more attractive investment opportunity compared to their larger counterparts in developed markets outside of Japan.

“They could underperform by another 200-300 bps tops, but stand to deliver 34-59% of alpha over the coming 2-3 years,” analysts added.

The strategists highlight several concerning discrepancies in the market, signaling potential volatility and risk. These include an inverted yield curve that typically forecasts economic recession, yet earnings estimates are anticipating an acceleration in growth.

There's also a record divergence between the performance of small and large caps, indicating a risk-off environment, even as large caps reach new highs. Additionally, analysts point out the absence of a risk premium in U.S. equities, with earnings yields falling below the Federal Reserve's fund rates.

Another red flag is the historically low yield spreads, especially given the significant interest rate hikes by central banks – the most aggressive in over fifty years – at a time when corporate balance sheets are notably weaker than before the 2008 financial crisis.

"In our 25-year career, we have seen equity markets behave irrationally before and these were always times to act with caution as 2 + 2 ALWAYS ends up being 4," strategists concluded.

Stocks will fall 20-30% from a 2024 peak - JPMorgan By Investing.com (2024)

FAQs

What is the stock price prediction for JPM in 2024? ›

JPMorgan Chase Stock Price Forecast 2024-2025

The forecasted JPMorgan Chase price at the end of 2024 is $242 - and the year to year change +42%. The rise from today to year-end: +18%.

What is the stock market prediction for 2024? ›

Overall, Yardeni Research forecasts S&P 500 operating earnings at $250 in 2024, up 12% vs 2023. He puts them at $270 in 2025 (up 8%) and $300 in 2026 (up 11.1%). These figures compare with analysts' consensus forecasts of $244.70 in 2024, $279.70 in 2025 and $314.80 in 2026.

Which stock will boom in 2024? ›

Top Long Term Stocks to Buy in 2024 Based on 5Y Avg Net Profit Margin
NameSub-SectorMarket Cap (Rs. in cr.)
SJVN LtdRenewable Energy51,786.84
Sun Tv Network LtdTV Channels & Broadcasters30,665.69
UTI Asset Management Company LtdAsset Management13,106.63
Oberoi Realty LtdReal Estate64,530.31
6 more rows
Jul 3, 2024

What is the stock market prediction for JPMorgan in 2025? ›

According to our JPMorgan Chase & Co stock prediction for 2025, JPM stock will be priced at $ 234.89 in 2025. This forecast is based on the stock's average growth over the past 10 years.

What is the JP Morgan promotion for 2024? ›

Earn a bonus up to $700 when you open and fund a J.P. Morgan Self-Directed Investing account (retirement or general) with qualifying new money by 10/11/2024.

What is the economic outlook for JP Morgan in 2024? ›

So, overall, a base case forecast of 2024 for 2024 – 2% growth, 0 recessions, 2% inflation and 4% unemployment. However, it should be recognized that there are many potential risks to this outlook, including a U.S. election, the lagged consequences of higher interest rates and very significant geopolitical tension.

Will 2024 be a bull or bear market? ›

Potential economic obstacles in 2024 could delay the start of a sustained bull market, but investors can still find opportunities. Consider staying cautious on U.S. stocks while shifting to bonds for potential income and capital gains.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

Key Takeaways. While holding or moving to cash might feel good mentally and help avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be wise over the long term. Once you cash out a stock that's dropped in price, you move from a paper loss to an actual loss.

Where will the S&P 500 be at the end of 2024? ›

The survey's median projection is for the S&P 500 to finish 2024 at 5,606, almost 3% above Friday's close. That's a cheerier view than Wall Street strategists' median target , which is for the index to be little changed from current levels at year-end.

What stock is expected to skyrocket? ›

10 Best Growth Stocks to Buy for 2024
StockImplied upside over June 24 close
Tesla Inc. (TSLA)25.9%
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)8.1%
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)13.9%
Mastercard Inc. (MA)18.2%
6 more rows
Jun 25, 2024

Which share will double in 3 years? ›

Stock Doubling every 3 years
S.No.NameCMP Rs.
1.P. H. Capital200.85
2.Jyoti Resins1401.40
3.Prime Industries192.55
4.HB Stockholdings126.18
23 more rows

Which penny stock is best for 2024? ›

Penny stock for 2024
S.No.NameCMP Rs.
1.Hindustan Motors30.19
2.Axita Cotton20.81
3.Arihant Capital81.30
4.Grauer & Weil85.12
12 more rows

How high will JPM stock go? ›

The average price target for JPMorgan Chase & Co. is $219.44. This is based on 22 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $240.00 ,the lowest forecast is $185.00. The average price target represents 4.47% Increase from the current price of $210.05.

Will the stock market recover in 2024? ›

While many experts are making predictions about whether the market will crash in 2024 or how severe the next downturn will be, it's impossible to say with certainty where stock prices will be in the short term. However, the market's long-term performance is all but guaranteed to be positive.

What is the future of JPMorgan Chase? ›

JPMorgan Chase's earnings are forecast to decline at 3.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 0.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13% in 3 years.

Where is the JPM 2024? ›

The JP Morgan Healthcare Conference will take place January 8-11, 2024 in San Francisco, CA.

What is the outlook for JP Morgan commercial real estate in 2024? ›

The commercial real estate outlook for the second half of 2024 is largely positive — multifamily continues to perform, as do industrial and retail. But challenges could lie ahead. The higher interest rate environment appears to be here to stay, and office vacancies continue to climb.

What is the future of JP Morgan? ›

JPMorgan Chase's earnings are forecast to decline at 3.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 0.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13% in 3 years.

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