US stocks edge higher to another record close amid trade-war optimism (2024)

  • US stocks continued their record run and closed higher on Tuesday, driven by trade optimism between the US and China.
  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow Jones industrial average ended the day in the red after the index provider announced a shake-up to the 124 year old index.
  • The US and China held a phone call on Monday eveningto review the phase one trade deal and commit to seeing the deal through, easing investor concerns about increased trade tensions between the two economic giants.
  • Watch major indexes update live here.

US stocks edge higher to another record close amid trade-war optimism (1)

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US stocks edge higher to another record close amid trade-war optimism (2)

US stocks edge higher to another record close amid trade-war optimism (3)

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The S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite indexes notched record closing highs on Tuesday as the Dow Jones industrial average ended the day in the red.

The two major indexes extended their record rally amid continued hopes for the cooling of US-China trade relations.

The US, represented by Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin,held a regularly scheduled phone callwith Chinese Vice Premier Liu He on Monday.

The Office of the US Trade Representativesaid in a statementthat they reviewed the phase-one trade deal and "addressed steps that China has taken to effectuate structural changes called for by the Agreement that will ensure greater protection for intellectual property rights, remove impediments to American companies in the areas of financial services and agriculture, and eliminate forced technology transfer."

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Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. ET market close on Tuesday:

  • : 3,443.62, up 0.4%
  • Dow Jones industrial average: 28,248.44, down 0.2% (60 points)
  • Nasdaq composite: 11,466.47, up 0.8%

Read more:GOLDMAN SACHS: The stocks most loved by hedge funds have smashed the market this year. Here are 15 stocks those investors flooded into last quarter.

"The parties also discussed the significant increases in purchases of U.S. products by China as well as future actions needed to implement the agreement," the statement said, adding that they expressed their commitment to ensuring the success of the phase-one trade deal.

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The statement came as tensions rise over data security related to the Trump administration's proposed ban of TikTok. The Trump administration has since been sued by TikTok, on the grounds that they were not given due process.

Meanwhile, the Dow Jones industrial average said it wouldconduct a major overhaul of its constituentsahead of Apple's end-of-month stock split. The index said it would replaceExxon Mobil,Pfizer, andRaytheonwithSalesforce,Amgen, andHoneywell.

Exxon is the oldest member of the Dow Jones index — it was added in 1928, one year before the Great Depression.

Dow Jones S&P Indices said the changes would help "diversify the index by removing overlap between companies of similar scope and adding new types of businesses that better reflect the American economy."

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Read more: BlackRock unpacks the 4 biggest changes it has made to portfolios since the crisis began 6 months ago — and shares how it's positioning to thrive in a post-COVID world

The changes are set to go into effect before the market open next Monday, the same day Apple implements a 4-for-1 stock split.

In terms of politics, LPL said in a note that the chances of a Joe Biden presidency are rising according to one stock market indicator, and his win would pose few risks to the market.

In the housing industry, home sales continue to rocket higher thanks to low mortgage rates. US new home sales soared 13.9% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 901,000 units, the highest level since December 2006, according to a Tuesday releasefrom the US Census Bureau.

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Read more: US investing champion David Ryan famously garnered a compounded return of 1,379% in just 3 years. Here is the 11-part criteria he uses to find the next big winner.

And while fears of a second wave spike in COVID-19 cases hangs over investors' heads, Wharton Professor Jeremy Siegel says not to worry. Siegel told CNBC on Tuesday that the stock market would not lose upward momentum if the US were to experience another wave of COVID-19 cases.

Fundstrat's Tom Lee seems to agree with Siegel. Lee said in a client note that US' rapid decline in COVID-19 cases is setting the country up to become one of the safest in the world, which will attract new capital and help stocks continue their rise.

Gold slid on Tuesday, falling as much as 0.8%, to $1,912 per ounce.

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Oil also got a boost from improving US-China trade relations.West Texas Intermediate crude gained as much as 2.2%, to $43.57 per barrel. Brent crude, oil's international benchmark, jumped 2%, to $46.05 per barrel, at intraday highs.

Read more: Morgan Stanley breaks down 3 reasons stocks could be headed for a short-term correction as the market gets dragged higher by a few big winners

US stocks edge higher to another record close amid trade-war optimism (2024)

FAQs

Has the Dow ever hit $40,000? ›

What to know about this major milestone. Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City on May 16, 2024, when the Dow hit 40,000 points for the first time ever.

Why is the Dow Jones going so high? ›

NEW YORK, July 16 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks rose and the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit an all-time closing high on Tuesday after U.S. retail sales data supported the view that the Federal Reserve is approaching its easing cycle, reining in inflation while avoiding a recession.

What is the brightest indicator of how US stocks are performing? ›

The S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.07%) is widely regarded as the best barometer for the overall U.S. stock market due to its scope and diversity. The index measures the performance of 500 large companies that cover 80% of U.S. equities by market capitalization.

What happens to the stock market when there is a war? ›

The study suggests that stock prices tend to decrease as the likelihood of war escalates during the prewar phase (no surprise there), but paradoxically, the outbreak of war causes them to increase. On the other hand, when a war begins unexpectedly with no intro, stock prices tend to decrease rather than increase.

Will Dow hit $40,000 in 2024? ›

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on May 16, 2024. Wall Street is buoyed by hopes the Federal Reserve will pull back on its restrictive monetary policy after data showed inflation is beginning to ease.

Will the Dow ever hit $50,000? ›

Key Points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is comprised of 30 time-tested, multinational businesses. If history is correct, the Dow will turn the page on 50,000 well before the turn of the decade. A trio of catalysts practically ensure that the Dow Jones will head higher over the long run.

What is the stock market prediction for 2024? ›

Overall, Yardeni Research forecasts S&P 500 operating earnings at $250 in 2024, up 12% vs 2023. He puts them at $270 in 2025 (up 8%) and $300 in 2026 (up 11.1%). These figures compare with analysts' consensus forecasts of $244.70 in 2024, $279.70 in 2025 and $314.80 in 2026.

What is the stock market record high in 2024? ›

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) hit its record high on May 16, 2024, reaching 40,051.05 points during intraday trading. The Dow's all-time high at market close stands at 39,908.00, reached on May 15, 2024.

What is the highest the stock market has ever been? ›

Records
CategoryAll-time highs
Closing41,198.08Wednesday, July 17, 2024
Intraday41,376.00Thursday, July 18, 2024

What's golden cross in stocks? ›

What is a Golden Cross? A Golden Cross is a basic technical indicator that occurs in the market when a short-term moving average (50-day) of an asset rises above a long-term moving average (200-day). When traders see a Golden Cross occur, they view this chart pattern as indicative of a strong bull market. Chart Source.

Who is the most accurate predictor of the stock market? ›

Capital Economics has been named the most accurate forecaster of major global stock indices in Reuters polls. The 2023 LSEG StarMine Award was given for forecasting accuracy across 11 equities benchmarks and reflects the breadth and depth of our global coverage of macro and markets.

What industries thrive during war? ›

In general, defense stocks (companies that produce weapons and armaments) tend to fare the best during a wartime environment.

Should I keep cash during war? ›

“The one thing you can be quite sure of is if we went into some very major war, the value of money would go down — that's happened in virtually every war that I'm aware of. The last thing you'd want to do is hold money during a war,” he said.

What stock goes up during war? ›

Examples of investments benefiting from the war

Companies benefited from the war, such as weapons companies, aircraft companies, etc. Companies that produce four-factor products such as food, water, medicines, etc. Oil companies Because oil are considered a commodity and prices tend to rise during the war.

What is the highest the Dow has ever gone? ›

The Dow posted its all-time high during intraday trading on May 16, 2024, reaching a peak of 40,051.05 points. The highest close occurred the day before when the index closed at 39,908.00 points. The peak was led in part by optimism that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates later this year.

What was the highest level of the S&P 500? ›

The S&P topped out at 4,842 Friday afternoon, narrowly beating January 2022's prior all-time high of 4,818. Leading Friday's 1.2% gain were big tech stocks—shares of Meta and Nvidia each gained more than 2%—fitting as the same group was largely responsible for dragging the S&P out of its 2022 depths.

Has the Dow always had 30 stocks in it? ›

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, an American stock index composed of 30 large companies, has changed its components 58 times since its inception, on May 26, 1896.

How much did the Dow lose during the Great Depression? ›

Effects of the 1929 Stock Market Crash: The Great Depression

Stock prices continued to drop through 1932 when the Dow Jones Industrial Average—a widely-used benchmark for blue-chip stocks in the United States—closed at 41.22, its lowest value of the 20th century, 89 percent below its peak.

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