Yellen Warns of ‘Catastrophic’ Consequences From Debt Limit Breach (Published 2021) (2024)

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The Treasury secretary, testifying alongside Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, implored Congress to raise or suspend the nation’s borrowing cap before an Oct. 18 deadline.

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Failure to Raise Debt Limit Would be ‘Catastrophic,’ Yellen Says

Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen warned lawmakers that if Congress did not raise or suspend the statutory debt limit by Oct. 18, the country would default for the first time in history, prompting a “self-inflicted” financial crisis.

It is imperative that Congress address the debt limit, if not, our current estimate is the Treasury will likely exhaust its extraordinary measures by Oct. 18. At that point, we expect Treasury would be left with very limited resources that would be depleted quickly — America would default for the first time in history. The full faith and credit of the United States would be impaired, and our country would likely face a financial crisis and economic recession as a result. It’s necessary to avert a catastrophic event for our economy. Senators, the debt ceiling has been raised or suspended 78 times since 1960, almost always on a bipartisan basis. My hope is that we can work together to do so again, and to build a stronger American economy for future generations. Absolutely, it’s true that the interest payments on the government debt would increase. I would be concerned that the dollar and Treasury assets, which are regarded as the most secure in the world and serve as the basis for the dollar to be the reserve currency that it would undermine confidence in. the dollar as a reserve currency, and the interest payments of ordinary Americans on their mortgages and on their cars and on their credit cards would all go up in line with higher Treasury borrowing costs. This would be a manufactured crisis we had imposed on this country which has been going through a very difficult period, is on the road to recovery, and it would be a self-inflicted wound of enormous proportions.

Yellen Warns of ‘Catastrophic’ Consequences From Debt Limit Breach (Published 2021) (1)

By Alan Rappeport,Emily Cochrane and Jeanna Smialek

WASHINGTON — Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen warned lawmakers on Tuesday of “catastrophic” consequences if Congress failed to raise or suspend the statutory debt limit in less than three weeks, saying inaction could lead to a self-inflicted economic recession and a financial crisis.

At a Senate Banking Committee hearing where she testified alongside the Federal Reserve chair, Jerome H. Powell, Ms. Yellen laid out in explicit terms what she expects to happen if Congress does not deal with the debt limit before Oct. 18, which the Treasury now believes is when the United States will actually face default. In her most public expression of alarm about the matter, she described the standoff within Congress as a self-inflicted wound of enormous proportions.

Her warnings came as the stock market suffered its worst day since May, as investors fretted over a co*cktail of concerns, including the potential for the government to shut down and default on its debt, persistent inflation, the Delta variant and the Fed’s plans to soon withdraw some economic support. The S&P 500 fell 2 percent and yields on government bonds spiked to their highest level since June, reflecting expectations that the Fed will begin to slow its bond purchases as prices rise and the economy heals.

Congress was scrambling to figure out how to resolve its two immediate problems: funding the government past Thursday and raising the debt limit so that the United States can continue borrowing money to pay its bills.

After Senate Republicans on Monday blocked an emergency spending bill that would have funded the government through early December and lifted the debt limit, Democrats huddled privately to discuss their options but have not settled on a solution.

In a phone call on Monday, Democratic congressional leaders spoke with President Biden about the possibility of steering around Republican opposition and raising the debt ceiling unilaterally. They could do so by using a fast-track process known as reconciliation that shields fiscal legislation from a filibuster — the same maneuver they are employing to push through their sprawling social policy and climate change bill. But Democrats have publicly resisted that option, which would be complex and time-consuming, and would most likely force them to cast a series of politically tricky votes on an array of issues.

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Yellen Warns of ‘Catastrophic’ Consequences From Debt Limit Breach (Published 2021) (2024)

FAQs

Will social security checks stop if the debt ceiling isn't raised? ›

"If the debt ceiling is not raised in time, then Social Security and Medicare payments will be late.

Is the government going to default? ›

US president signs legislation lifting the debt ceiling, averting a catastrophic default on the federal government's debt. With just two days to spare, President Joe Biden has signed legislation that lifts the nation's debt ceiling, averting an economically disastrous default on the federal government's debt.

What would happen if the U.S. defaulted on its debt? ›

The dollar is a global reserve currency and U.S. bonds are seen as one of the most stable investments on the planet. So if the U.S. cannot pay its creditors, interest rates on U.S. debt would go up, creating a cascade of higher interest rates. So mortgage rates, credit card rates, car loan rates.

Has the government ever failed to raise the debt ceiling? ›

While the treasury has used these measures when previous negotiations stalled—including in 2011 and 2023—Congress has never failed to raise the ceiling before the measures have been depleted.

What happens to Social Security payments if the government shuts down? ›

Social Security is considered a mandatory program, and it isn't funded by the shorter-term appropriations bills passed by Congress and signed by the president. That means its operations and funding don't stop when the government shuts down.

Which president borrowed from the Social Security Fund? ›

Since 1983, every US President has borrowed from Social Security to pay for government expenditures. However, there is no evidence that any of the presidents has stolen a dime from Social Security.

What is the safest place for money if the government defaults? ›

U.S. government securities—such as Treasury notes, bills, and bonds—have historically been considered extremely safe because the U.S. government has never defaulted on its debt. Treasury bonds also pay the highest interest rates. They are offered to investors for a term of 20 or 30 years to maturity.

Where to put money if the US defaults? ›

Gold: The Traditional Safe Haven

“If the debt ceiling is not raised and the government defaults on its debt obligations, investors may turn to gold and other precious metals to protect their wealth.” The largest precious metals ETF is SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), with $60.7 billion in net assets.

How to prepare for US default? ›

Tried and true basics. "We're advising people to prepare for a potential default as you would for an impending recession," says Anna Helhoski of NerdWallet. That means tamping down on excess spending, making a budget, and shoring up emergency savings to cover at least three months of living expenses.

Which president paid off the national debt? ›

1837: Andrew Jackson

(In 1835, the $17.9 million budget surplus was greater than the total government expenses for that year.) By January of 1835, for the first and only time, all of the government's interest-bearing debt was paid off.

What happens to mortgages if US defaults? ›

It could get even more expensive to buy a home because a default would force the Treasury Department to pay higher interest on its bonds to convince investors to stick around — and mortgage rates and other borrowing costs tend to follow Treasury rates.

Is US in debt with China? ›

China is one of the United States's largest creditors, owning about $859.4 billion in U.S. debt. It doesn't own the most U.S. debt of any foreign country, however. Nations borrowing from each other may be as old as the concept of money.

What happens to social security if the government defaults? ›

If the U.S. defaults, what happens to Social Security? It's possible your check could be delayed, although the length of the interruption would depend on how long it takes lawmakers to fix the fiscal situation. Seniors and other recipients should monitor the negotiations over the debt limit, Johnson said.

Why is the US government shutting down? ›

A government shutdown happens when Congress does not pass appropriations bills: bills that finance the operation of the government for the upcoming fiscal year. These bills are designed to fund the government until the conclusion of each fiscal year, which ends on September 30.

Why is America in so much debt? ›

The federal government needs to borrow money to pay its bills when its ongoing spending activities and investments cannot be funded by federal revenues alone. Decreases in federal revenue are largely due to either a decrease in tax rates or individuals or corporations making less money.

Will I still get my Social Security check if the government defaults? ›

While a shutdown would disrupt some government services, Social Security and SSI payments are not at risk, according to experts. Social Security and SSI recipients were paid in full during previous shutdowns, said David Camp, interim CEO of the National Organization of Social Security Claimants' Representatives.

Can they stop Social Security payments? ›

If you are already entitled to benefits, you may voluntarily suspend retirement benefit payments up to age 70. Your benefits will be suspended beginning the month after you make the request. We pay Social Security benefits the month after they are due.

Can the government hold your Social Security check? ›

The Department of the Treasury (Treasury) can also withhold Social Security benefits to collect delinquent non-tax debts owed to other federal agencies under the Debt Collection Improvement Act of 1996 (Public Law 104-134). Treasury controls this activity and will contact you if you owe a non-tax debt.

What happens to Medicare if the debt ceiling isn't raised? ›

Healthcare providers who accept Medicare, Medicaid, and Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) rely on the government to pay for the treatment of those beneficiaries. Reimbursem*nt from these public payers could run dry if the government cannot pay its debt because of the debt ceiling.

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